Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Creationist Talk Woes

So, recently I went to a talk at the local university. The talk was put on by the local creationist group, as well as the campus "creation club"

The speaker was Emil Silvestru. His talk was on Catastrophic Plate Tectonics. Unfortunately I hadn't heard of this theory at the time, but only hydro-plate theory and the vapor/water/ice canopy theories. ( Don't forget Hovind's "Ice Meteor" theory )

There were a few people saying things like "AMEN" and "You tell it BROTHER!". Not bad for a talk about science, but since it was helping them to re-affirm their presuppositions, they treated him like a preacher. I don't mean this as an attack on them being motivated by his talk of course, only recently having left the church, I felt part of me almost rooting for the guy. He is very charismatic, has a way with the crowd, and for the most part I liked the guy. Perhaps a few years ago I would have been saying the same thing as them. It definitely stuck with me, since I'd never heard such comments while hearing a lecture about science :p

Now I won't get into Catastrophic Plate Tectonics here today, but he was "somewhat" fair when he was presenting it. The following quote is from the Creation Ministries website.

"After becoming a Christian he quickly realized that the ‘millions of years’ interpretation, so common in geology, was not compatible with Genesis. ‘Once I became a Christian,’ Emil says, ‘I knew I had to “tune up” my scientific knowledge with the Scriptures.’"

He fully admits that the way that he "interprets" the information is from a biased point of view, and he also presents the idea that teaching students facts is much more responsible than teaching them the interpretations. Unfortunately if you don't show students the interpretations, how do you move on to related material? Plus, our interpretations are based on the best scientific consensus at the time, leaving it up to high school kids to "decide for themselves" what the data means is not only asking way too much when we HAVE very good explanations, but is an irresponsible way to teach our kids. Teach them to think critically, yes. Explain to them that the interpretations we have are tentative, and can be changed based on new information, yes. Even show them where we have been wrong in the past, and how we have improved models based on more information and increases in measurement accuracy.

What we should NOT do, is simply throw a pile of facts on the desk and ask them to sort through them and try to decipher what it means. It has taken a long time with the leading edge minds to get the the point where we are at now. To expect students to sift through and come up with the best answers unguided is absurd.

Now, the theory he was presenting has all sorts of holes, and while he admits that he has a biased point of view, I was impressed with his information, demeanor, and charisma. I can see why people in the crowd ( particularly those without a knowledge of science ) would look at his charts and pictures, nod their heads while he makes his claims, and accept this talk as truth. It is much easier to accept a claim that falls in line with your own presuppositions than it is to question it, to try to ensure that the information is correct before accepting it, ESPECIALLY when you don't have the background knowledge in the basics of science, and how to research a claim and it's problems.

There were two things that really upset me at the end of the talk. He had built the picture of a "consistent atheist". By consistent atheist, he meant someone who will only believe in atheism no matter what he is shown, thus the label consistent. Now, I don't know about you, but I can't remember the last time I ever met one of these "consistent atheists". Usually I meet people that lack a belief but are ignorant on the topic and don't care, people that are atheist because of a problem when they left the church, and the majority that I associate with are the ones that lack a belief in a deity due to skepticism, and a lack of evidence for any particular god claim we've been presented with.

This worst example he used, was that if a human skeleton was found in the same layer of sediment, or a layer under, that of a dinosaur, that we would say "obviously someone in the future was capable of time travel, went into the past, and died there" rather than accept that the current theories of the worlds geology, evolution etc. were flawed. The room roared into laughter at the expense of this ridiculous atheist straw-man.

Of course there would likely be a much better explanation than time travel, but even if we did end up accepting a young earth theory, it still doesn't prove a god. His own "consistent atheist" that he had built up would still not need to give up atheism simply because of the location of a skeleton, it would simply mean there is something wrong with out theories, or there was some other extremely difficult to imagine explanation.

The other problem that I had was during question period. It basically turned into "let's bash radiometric dating" session. Yes, radiometric dating has its limitations. You generally can't date anything past 10 half lives reliably at all, which is why we only date within the useful parameters of a set method. For example, Carbon-14 has a half-life of approx. 5,700 years. After 10 half lives, you have approximately 1/1000th of the original carbon 14 remaining. After this point it is impossible to date anything with accuracy since the error margins are so enormous.

The following image is representative of the firt 5 halflives of carbon 14. To be honest, I'm a bit surprised we are able to date much past 5 halflives with much accuracy, but you can see the problems we get into once we go much past that point.


*image borrowed from bbc*

One would expect that carbon deep down in the earth would be underground far too long to have any remaining carbon 14, so it is popular for a creationist to bring up diamonds found with just that! The problem is, Diamonds are not 100% pure, the most common contaminant found in them is Nitrogen ( 0.1% in gem-quality diamonds ) . Nearby radioactive sources can trigger the exact same Nitrogen->Carbon-14 process as we find in the upper atmosphere which results in the near constant rate of carbon-14 in living surface animals. We expect that diamonds found near radioactive sources would have higher amounts of Carbon 14, and this is what we find.

This small, but non-zero contamination shows how older samples cannot be reliably dated, since the trace amounts already would have large margins of error, looking at the slope of the halflife chart after a few halflives. These extremely small amounts however will not usually have a large impact on younger samples.

Of course at this talk, the ideas of contamination and the unreliablility after a certain amount of time were scoffed at, as if it suddenly brings down the entire house of cards for radiometric dating, but it's a matter of understanding the limitations, routes of contamination, in order to more accurately date the world around us.

We've been able to calibrate the "near constant" atmospheric Carbon-14 levels with independently verifiable dendrochronology ( using tree rings with overlapping identifiable patterns in an area to date wood up to 10,000 years ago ) These fall in line quite well with what we would expect to see using the carbon dating method, and have helped us to increase the accuracy substantially.

I'm working on a youtube video to delve further into the topic of radiometric dating, I only wanted to touch on it here since it came up at the recent creationist talk.

Overall I wasn't particularly impressed with the information presented, lack of evidence, straw-men, an inability to explain discrepancies with radiometric dating other than accusing them of being unreliable, and the attitude taken towards science as if it's some big conspiracy to try to destroy religion.

Now, I don't have anything against the idea of a deity being real. I used to be religious myself. I simply refuse to accept anything as fact without sufficient evidence to do so, and as Carl Sagan put it, "Extraordinary Claims require Extraordinary Evidence". If the god of the christian bible turns out to actually be true, then he's got a lot of explaining to do, and I'll be waiting!

Thanks for sticking this out til the end. Until next time, keep thinking!

5 comments:

  1. Good work. :) Looking forward to your next article.

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  2. You know, I was at that meeting. But I heard few if any amens, preach it brothers, etc, although I suggest they may have been most appropriate. Not that they may not have happened, its just that sitting in the geographical center of the crowd I didn't hear any. I am a retired teacher, and was sitting with a current chemistry teacher and we did have a couple side conversations, so maybe these happened while those were in progress. As I understand the seminar was taped, as I review the presentation I will listen particularly for those exclamations. So thanx for bringing to my attention my inattentiveness.

    Now you speak of bias. This professor, who was the worlds leading authority on caves, etc. changed his bias when he became a Christian. Therefore how strong are the biases scientists bring to their work? If an atheist brings his bias to the evidence, that's OK by your book. But if a Christian brings his bias to the same facts, that's not OK?

    The facts haven't changed. If ones bias can so easily change the outcomes of science, it mustn't be that empirical at all.

    You propose that we teach our biases to kids as they cannot think for themselves. Yet I was educated with Piltdown man, recapitulation and other frauds taught as indisputable fact. Learning (pretty much on my own) that these "facts" were not so factual was one of the reasons I began to question the whole religion of evolution (religion because it is a blind faith dealing with origins, and how we got here).

    IF we as teachers were allowed to discus the flaws and inconsistencies in the system and present alternative concepts, I would say that this was a step towards science education. Since we are not it is indoctrination.

    "as Carl Sagan put it, "Extraordinary Claims require Extraordinary Evidence"". So given that paradigm, how do you explain the effect of the Big Bang theory without the necessary cause? We know today that our universe could not have developed ( I would say evolved but biologists attack me for using the term) without dark energy and matter, but they don't exist. So what is your "extraordinary" evidence for the beginning of the universe, without which all your other just-so stories are irrelevant.

    Given the facts I've encountered in biology and geology throughout my scientific lifetime, I'd say that a fair assessment is that the creationist viewpoint has fewer "just-so" stories and less assumption than the evolutionary faith; hence my personal decision to be a creationist.

    Look forward to your Utube - I'll certainly be available to challenge your presuppositions on that one.

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  3. @happylada
    "We know today that our universe could not have developed ( I would say evolved but biologists attack me for using the term) without dark energy and matter, but they don't exist."

    I think the current agreement is that dark energy makes up a large part of the universe and we can estimate how much there is we just do not understand very much about it. The same goes for dark matter.

    The wonderful thing about science is that it changes as more evidence becomes available. It is not static.

    Although it is many years since I was in secondary school I remember discussing the problems with some of the theories we discussed. But the theories had to be based on science and not on faith.

    What facts in biology and geology made you become a creationist?

    Mary P

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  4. Thanks for the reply.

    I was sitting towards the front of the room, and most of the "amen" comments were to my left iirc ( it actually took one of the guys sitting to the left of me mentioning it to me, and then listening for it for me to hear it ) It could well have been only a few times that these phrases were said, and they may have simply stuck in my mind more because I wasn't expecting them. ( they were fairly quiet ) I've edited my post to reflect this. After that I returned to listening to the presentation. My main point bringing this up was that he is very charismatic, I even felt myself almost rooting for the guy. ( I've only recently left the church ) I may have even been one of them just a few years ago, before I began to be critical of my own beliefs.

    I was actually hoping to record the lecture myself, but didn't have the opportunity, if it's possible I'd love to get my hands on a copy of that video so that I can have the best representation of Emil Silvestru possible, rather than relying on my memory for that as well :) I have to admit that what I've found elsewhere wasn't as well put together as his presentation was.

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  5. I agree that we shouldn't teach scientific theory as "indisputable fact" but rather as the best, tentative models thus far based on the available evidence. I don't agree with teaching alternative concepts, unless they are just as well supported, in which case they should be on the same level as an existing theory.

    Now as far as biases or presuppositions go, both of our viewpoints require us to assume that the universe exists, and that we can learn about it, or at least treat the universe in this manner in order to have any sort of meaningful dialogue about it. These assumptions have useful utility, since we disregard the possibility that this is simply all in our imagination, or that our brains are in a vat with some sort of computer inputting all that we sense. Most of us can agree that these are silly, unverifiable, though interesting mind games, and once we make these earlier assumptions, we can concentrate on learning about our surroundings and how we interact with them.

    The key difference here is the insertion of one additional pre-supposition. While creationists tend to pre-suppose the existence of a deity and possibly the truth of the bible, someone like myself does not pre-suppose non-existence. We simply require evidence and reason before accepting this additional supposition as true. As we continue to learn about our surroundings, we rely on what's verifiably the most accurate explanation, and if the data points to supernatural causation, so be it, but if we don’t have the evidence to believe in the existence of an entity, then it’s also difficult to attribute causation to it as well. Sometimes the most honest answer we can give simply is, we don’t know.

    So far I haven't seen evidence that points towards the creationist worldview, which is why I left the church. I understood that if what I believed was true, it should stand up to scrutiny, and unfortunately the burden of proof was not met, instead I found the natural explanations were much better since they had the evidence necessary to convince me that they were the best current interpretations of the information we have.

    As far as big bang cosmology, our current understanding of a "big bang" is based on the observational evidence. While we can witness phenomenon, and try to learn more about it, we don't need to have an understanding of the cause to know whether the big bang model best fits the observations made. Of course there are still details being worked out, such as the calculated mass necessary for our universe to be as flat as we observe, and some gravitational discrepancies with spiral and elliptical galaxies. These don't change the observations we make about the universe and it's past though, it simply shows us that there is more to figure out. We are in the process of trying to do just that.

    It seems the jury is still out on dark matter and dark energy. If dark energy and dark matter indeed aren't actually present in the universe, then there is some definite work to do as far as explaining why the universe acts the way it does. This doesn't change what we HAVE observed about the characteristics of the universe, but it opens up the door to a possible change in the theory of gravity over large distances, or perhaps some other explanation we have not yet been able to think of. These would have other implications of course, and it's interesting to see where this field of study will go. We should have more information in the next few years about this theorized dark energy that seems to be the explanation for observed acceleration in expansion of the universe. Once we're able to get better, more accurate data we should be able to more accurately describe this process and whether dark energy gits the bill, and whatever it is, what the properties are like.

    Like Mary P, I'd also like to see what facts exactly in geology and biology led you to assess that the creationist viewpoint is correct?

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